Name: Historic Trends Scenario, 2025
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Description: The Forecasted Land Use 2025 dataset represents one of 101 equally-likely Monte Carlo (i.e., random) iterations of the “Current Zoning” scenario for the year 2025. New development, from 2013-2025, is illustrated as either Commercial (fuchsia), Residential (yellow), or Mixed Use (purple). While the exact locations of simulated development vary among all 101 equally-likely iterations, the general patterns of growth are the same. Thus, the locations of simulated clusters of new development within a city or county will be similar for all iterations. These general patterns of growth are dictated by zoning, land suitability (e.g., gently sloped, unprotected, and undeveloped), and proximity to recent growth hot spots, urban areas, amenities, sewer infrastructure, and pre-development land cover conditions.
Service Item Id: b6ce5586cc364eb3a3e565949be191e2
Copyright Text: Chesapeake Bay Program
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